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Price movements in many commodity markets exhibit significant seasonal patterns. In this paper, we study the effects of seasonal volatility on models’ option pricing performance. In terms of options pricing, a deterministic seasonal component at the price level can be neglected. In contrast,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010838042
Many commodity markets contain a strong seasonal component in volatility. In this paper, the importance of this seasonal behavior for the pricing of commodity options is analyzed. We propose a stochastic volatility model where the drift term of the variance process captures the observed seasonal...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010838043
Price movements in many commodity markets exhibit significant seasonal patterns. However, given an observed futures price, a deterministic seasonal component at the price level is not relevant for the pricing of commodity options. In contrast, this is not true for the seasonal pattern observed...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010595274
In this paper, we study jumps in commodity prices. Unlike assumed in existing models of commodity price dynamics, a …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011263470
Using a comprehensive dataset of first, second and third generation commodity indices, we investigate the potential diversification benefits in equity-bond portfolios. The results show that first generation commodity indices are outperformed by enhanced indices. Second generation indices provide...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012030921
frequently than in stock markets. Nonetheless, jump correlations across commodities can be high depending on the commodity … sectors. Energy, metal and grains commodities show high jump correlations while jumps of meats and softs commodities are … barely correlated. Looking at crossmarket correlations, we find that returns of commodities co-move with the stock market …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011776720
-dependent spillovers in principal components (PCs) of the volatility term structures of different commodities, as well as that of the … commodities. Accounting for intra-commodity-market spillovers significantly improves out-of-sample forecasts of the components of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012428681
In this paper we develop a multi-factor model for the joint dynamics of related commodity spot prices in continuous … rich dependencies among the latent factors and thus, the commodity prices. The co-integrated behavior between the different … prices. The Kalman Filter methodology is applied to estimate the model for crude oil, heating oil and gasoline futures …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005626834
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