Prokopczuk, Marcel; Symeonidis, Lazaros; Wese Simen, Chardin - 2023
We develop a framework to quantify the convenience yield risk (CYR) inherent to each commodity futures market …. Implementing our approach, we document that our novel CYR measure is informative about future commodity returns. In panel … regressions, the CYR predicts future returns with a positive sign. Economically, a strategy that opens long positions in commodity …