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We study the term structure of variance (total risk), systematic and idiosyncratic risk. Consistent with the expectations hypothesis, we find that, for the entire market, the slope of the term structure of variance is mainly informative about the path of future variance. Thus, there is little...
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This paper investigates price jumps in commodity markets. We find that jumps are rare and extreme events but occur less frequently than in stock markets. Nonetheless, jump correlations across commodities can be high depending on the commodity sectors. Energy, metal and grains commodities show...
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, i.e. exhibits seasonality. We propose a stochastic volatility jump-diffusion model to capture this seasonal variation …
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Many commodity markets contain a strong seasonal component not only at the price level, but also in volatility. In this … paper, the importance of seasonal behavior in the volatility for the pricing of commodity options is analyzed. We propose a … option valuation formulas are derived. We then empirically study the impact of the proposed seasonal stochastic volatility …
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