Regime switching models, especially Markov Switching (MS) models, are regarded as a promising way to capture nonlinearities in time series. Combining the elements of MS models with full Autoregressive Moving Average-Generalized Autoregressive Conditional Heteroskedasticity (ARMA-GARCH) models...

The emergence of Credit Default Swap (CDS) indices and corresponding credit risk transfer markets with high liquidity and narrow bid-ask spreads has created standard benchmarks for market credit risk and correlation against which portfolio credit risk models can be calibrated. Integrated risk...