Much research has been devoted to assessing the evidence for linear trend in a time series. We discuss the statistical implications of some recent developments, with specific application to 24 time series of relative primary commodities prices. Copyright 2003 Blackwell Publishing Ltd.

Much research has been devoted to assessing the evidence for linear trend in a time series. We discuss the statistical implications of some recent developments, with specific application to 24 time series of relative primary commodities prices

The ability of futures markets to predict subsequent spot prices has been a controversial topic for a number of years. Empirical evidence to date is mixed; for any given market, some studies find evidence of efficiency, others of inefficiency. In part, these apparently conflicting findings reflect...

This paper investigates the claim that the common finding of cointegration between spot and lagged forward exchange rates reflects the existence of covered interest arbitrage and not, as is generally accepted, long-run market efficiency. Breuer and Wohar's (1996) methodology is employed to match...