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This Paper proposes a new forecasting method that exploits information from a large panel of time series. The method is …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010328558
This paper formalizes the process of updating the nowcast and forecast on output and inflation as new releases of data become available. The marginal contribution of a particular release for the value of the signal and its precision is evaluated by computing "news" on the basis of an evolving...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011604679
to the cross-sectional dimension, the forecasting performance of small monetary VARs can be improved by adding additional …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011605012
We define nowcasting as the prediction of the present, the very near future and the very recent past. Crucial in this process is to use timely monthly information in order to nowcast key economic variables, such as e.g. GDP, that are typically collected at low frequency and published with long...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011605321
predictive accuracy in now-casting and forecasting. Our empirical results show that both the monthly version of the DSGE and the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011460630
predictive accuracy in now-casting and forecasting. Our empirical results show that both the monthly version of the DSGE and the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011399325
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010411462
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012170255
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011709686
to the cross-sectional dimension, the forecasting performance of small monetary VARs can be improved by adding additional …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005248367