Validity is a key issue for consumers of computable general equilibrium (CGE) modeling services. What assurance can producers of CGE results give to consumers that a CGE analysis: (i) is computationally sound, (ii) uses accurate up-to-date data, (iii) adequately captures behavioral and...

MONASH models are descended from Johansen's 1960 model of Norway. The first MONASH model was ORANI, used in Australia's tariff debate of the 1970s. Johansen's influence combined with institutional arrangements in their development gave MONASH models distinctive characteristics, facilitating a...

Validity is a key issue for consumers of computable general equilibrium (CGE) modeling services. What assurance can producers of CGE results give to consumers that a CGE analysis: (i) is computationally sound, (ii) uses accurate up-to-date data, (iii) adequately captures behavioral and...

MONASH models are descended from Johansen's 1960 model of Norway. The first MONASH model was ORANI, used in Australia's tariff debate of the 1970s. Johansen's influence combined with institutional arrangements in their development gave MONASH models distinctive characteristics, facilitating a...

This paper describes the regional extension of USAGE-ITC, a 500-order dynamic CGE model of the US that we are developing in collaboration with the International Trade Commission. With the regional extension, USAGE-ITC can project the effects on employment and output by state of policy and other...

USAGE is a 500 industry dynamic computable general equilibrium model of the US economy being developed at Monash University in collaboration with the US International Trade Commission. In common with the MONASH model of Australia, USAGE is designed for four modes of analysis: Historical, where...

The main ideas in this paper are: (a) that CGE models can be used in forecasting; and (b) that forecasts matter for policy analysis. We demonstrate these ideas by describing an application of MONASH, a dynamic CGE model of Australia, to the Australian motor vehicle industry over the period 1987...

Fifty years ago the Norwegian economist, Leif Johansen, gave us what is now recognised as the first CGE model. While Johansen was first, he is not the father of the whole field. CGE modelling in different styles sprang largely independently from several sources. This paper describes how...

We simulate the effects of a hypothetical H1N1 epidemic in the U.S. using a quarterly CGE model. Quarterly periodicity allows us to capture the short-run nature of an epidemic. We find potentially severe economic effects in the peak quarter. Averaged over the epidemic year the effects are...

President Obamas National Export Initiative is targeted at doubling U.S. exports between 2010 and 2015. We apply USAGE to quantify what the NEI would need to do to foreign importdemand curves and domestic export-supply curves to achieve this target. USAGE is a dynamic economy-wide model of the...