Showing 1 - 6 of 6
It is known that time-weighted charts like EWMA or CUSUM are designed to be optimal to detect a specific shift. If they are designed to detect, for instance, a very small shift, they can be inefficient to detect moderate or large shifts. In the literature, several alternatives have been proposed...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011278499
This article proposes an adaptive forgetting factor for the recursive estimation of time varying models.The proposed procedure is based on the Cook's distance of the new observation.It is proven that the proposed procedure encompasses the adaptive features of classic adaptive forgetting factors...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005249636
This paper describes a methodology for the simulation of multivariate out of control situations using in-control data. The method is based on finding the independent factors of the variability of the process, and shifting these factors one by one. These shifts are then translated in terms of the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005196589
This paper proposes an automatic procedure to identify Threshold Autoregressive models and specify the threshold values. The proposed procedure is based on recursive estimation of arranged autoregression. The main advantage of the proposed procedure over its competitors is that the threshold...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008543185
This article introduces two new types of prediction errors in time series: the filtered prediction errors and the deletion prediction errors. These two prediction errors are obtained in the same sample used for estimation, but in such a way that they share some common properties with out of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005417110
El cálculo de predicciones puntuales junto con su incertidumbre en forma de intervalo es, en la mayoría de aplicaciones, insuficiente. Especialmente cuando estemos asumiendo no linealidad en los datos, puesto que en estos casos, podrían existir incluso cambios en la distribución. Por ello...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009149968