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This paper complements theoretical studies on the Kelly rule in evolutionary finance by studying a Darwinian model of selection and reproduction in which the diversity of investment strategies is maintained through genetic programming. We find that investment strategies which optimize long-term...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005858334
As early as 1934 Graham and Dodd conjectured that excess returns from value investment originate from a tendency of markets to converge towards fundamental values. This paper confirms their insights theoretically within the evolutionary finance model of Evstigneev, Hens, and Schenk-Hopp (2006)...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005858582
The paper examines a dynamic model of a financial market with endogenous asset prices determined by short run equilibrium of supply and demand. Assets pay dividends that are partially consumed and partially reinvested. The traders use fixed-mix investment strategies (portfolio rules),...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005858779
This note shows that an investor who does not hold positive amounts of all available assets is eventually overtaken by a completely diversified rival investor.
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005858925
This paper presents an application of evolutionary portfolio theory to stocks listed in the Swiss Market Index (SMI). We study numerically the long-run outcome of the competition of rebalancing rules for market shares in a stock market with actual dividends taken from firms listed in the SMI....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005859332
In this paper we analyze the long-run dynamics of the market selection process among simple trading strategies in an incomplete asset market with endogenous prices. We identify a unique surviving financial trading strategy. Investors following this strategy asymptotically gather total market...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005859367
The paper analyzes the long-run performance of dynamic investment strategies based on fixed-mix portfolio rules. Such rules prescribe rebalancing the portfolio by transferring funds between its positions according to fixed (timeindependent) proportions. The focus is on asset markets where prices...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005859369
The paper analyzes the process of market selection of investment strategies in an incomplete market of short-lived assets. In the model under study, asset payos depend on exogenous random factors. Market participants use dynamic investment strategies taking account of available information about...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005859376
This paper studies the evolution of wealth shares of portfolio rules in incomplete markets with short-lived assets. Prices are determined endogenously. The performance of a portfolio rule in the process of repeated reinvestment of wealth is determined by the wealth share eventually conquered in...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005859386
This chapter gives an overview of current research in evolutionary finance. We mainly focus on the survival and stability properties of investment strategies associated with the Kelly rule. Our approach to the study of the wealth dynamics of investment strategies is inspired by Darwinian ideas...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003971097