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Reasons for the demise of interest : savings glut and secular stagnation or central bank policy?

Mayer, Thomas; Schnabl, Gunther - 2019

In this paper we compare the Keynesian, neoclassical and Austrian explanations for low interest rates and sluggish growth. From a Keynesian and neoclassical perspective low interest rates are attributed to ageing societies, which save more for the future (global savings glut). Low growth is...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012124862

The failure of ECB monetary policy from a Mises-Hayek perspective

Schnabl, Gunther - 2017

The paper analyses the common European monetary policy based on a Mises-Hayek overinvestment framework, which is combined with the theory of optimum currency areas. It shows how since the turn of the millennium a too expansionary monetary policy contributed to unsustainable overinvestment booms...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011619626

Monetary policies of large industrialised countries, emerging market credit cycles and feedback effects

Andreas, Hoffmann; Schnabl, Gunther - 2014

. Based on an overinvestment framework, we show that in the prevailing asymmetric world monetary system, monetary policies of …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010337620

Adverse effects of ultra-loose monetary policies on investment, growth and income distribution

Hoffmann, Andreas; Schnabl, Gunther - 2016

The paper analyses adverse investment, growth and distributional effects of ultra-loose monetary policies based on the monetary overinvestment theories of Hayek and Mises. We argue that ultra-loose monetary policies create incentives to substitute real investment by financial investment. When...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011428355

Exchange rate regime, financial market bubbles and long-term growth in China : lessons from Japan

Schnabl, Gunther - 2016

The paper argues that persistent current account surpluses and increasing foreign currency-denominated asset positions constitute long-term appreciation expectations on yuan and yen, which have made China and Japan vulnerable to U.S. interest rate cuts and appreciation expectation shocks. For...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011475972

China's exchange rate impasse and the weak US dollar

McKinnon, Ronald I.; Schnabl, Gunther - 2008

In assessing Alexander Swoboda's great influence on economics, two themes stand out: the determinants of global inflation, particularly in the 1970s, and the choice of an exchange rate regime consistent with domestic monetary and fiscal policies. Although seemingly narrowly focused on China, our...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003818402

China's exchange rate impasse and the weak U.S. dollar

McKinnon, Ronald Ian (contributor); … - 2008

Since 2004, China has been backed into a situation where the renminbi is expected to go ever higher against the dollar, and this one-way bet has led to a loss of domestic monetary control. Combined with a more general flight from the U.S. dollar, the resulting monetary explosion in China...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003749649

The global move into the zero interest rate and high debt trap

Schnabl, Gunther - 2013

benign neglect towards monetary policy reform in a world dominated by financial markets has led to a erosion of the … distortions in the world economy. The backlash of high government debt levels on monetary policy making is argued to lead to the … the exit from low interest rates and high debt policies and a reform of the prevalent world monetary system. It is …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009769015

A vicious cycle of manias, crashes and asymmetric policy responses : an overinvestment view

Hoffmann, Andreas; Schnabl, Gunther - 2009

The business cycles theories of Wicksell (1898), Schumpeter (1912), Mises (1912), Hayek (1929, 1935) and Minsky (1986, 1992) explain business cycles by distorted prices on capital markets, buoyant credit expansion and overinvestment. The exuberance during the boom endogenously causes the...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003910416

Inflation targeting by debtor central banks in emerging market economies

Löffler, Axel; Schnabl, Gunther; Schobert, Franziska - 2010

Given buoyant capital inflows and managed exchange rates the majority of emerging market central banks have continued to accumulate massive foreign reserves. If left unsterilized, the liquidity expansion can threaten domestic macroeconomic stability. To contain domestic inflation these central...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003994520