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Since the 1980s inflationary pressures seem to materialize overproportionately outside of the sectors of consumer goods and services. We combine the Harmonized Index of Consumer Prices with indices for asset prices, such as stocks and real estate, as well as the costs of public goods to develop...
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Historisch niedrige Inflationsraten und Warnungen vor Deflation in den Industrieländern gehen mit Exzessen auf den internationalen Finanzmärkten einher. Um Wachstum und Inflation wiederzubeleben, werden die Zentralbankbilanzen drastisch ausgeweitet, ohne dass die Inflationsraten deutlich...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010428173
The paper argues that persistent current account surpluses and increasing foreign currency-denominated asset positions constitute long-term appreciation expectations on yuan and yen, which have made China and Japan vulnerable to U.S. interest rate cuts and appreciation expectation shocks. For...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011475972
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The pressure on the Chinese government to appreciate the Chinese yuan is large. Since the start of the dollar's sustained depreciation in early 2002 the western industrialized countries including Japan argue that China's fixed peg is equivalent to a mercantilist trade policy. From the Chinese...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10002620539
This paper studies the role of the yen/dollar exchange rate in the Bank of Japan’s monetary policy reaction function. In contrast to prior estimations of reaction functions based on the Taylor-rule, we allow for regime shifts by estimating rolling coefficients from January 1974 to March 1999....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10002620541
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Although most CIS and East Asian countries are de jure classified as free floaters, they de facto pursue (tight) dollar pegs. This paper emphasizes dollar denomination of shortterm and long-term payment flows as reasons for exchange rate stabilization. Based on the analysis of competitive...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003072926
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