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This paper examines the effect of a change in U.S. trade policy on the domestic investment of U.S. manufacturers. Using a difference-in-differences identification strategy, we find that industries more exposed to reductions in import tariff uncertainty exhibit relative declines in investment...
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initially employed in manufacturing, we find substantial and persistent declines in both outcomes, with indirect exposure via … manufacturing, however, we find that the positive impact of greater upstream exposure via inputs more than offsets the adverse …
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