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From 2004 to 2015, the market perception of the sovereign risks of the Euro area government bonds experienced several different phases, reflected in a clear time structure of the correlation matrix between the yield changes. "Core" and "peripheral" bonds cluster in a bloc-like structure, but the...
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We revisit the discussion of market sentiment in European sovereign bonds using a correlation analysis toolkit based on influence networks and hierarchical clustering. We focus on three case studies of political interest. In the case of the 2016 Brexit referendum, the market showed negative...
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This study analyses investor demand in syndicated EFSF and ESM bond issuances from 2014 to 2020 on an unprecedented granularity level of individual orders. In particular, we investigate three main aspects of order book dynamics: first, we determine the main factors segmenting investor demand....
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The lack of a liquid market for implied correlations requires traders to estimate correlation matrices for pricing multi-asset equity options from historical data. To quantify the precision of these correlation estimates, we devise a block bootstrap procedure. The resulting bootstrap...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010296446
Starting from well-known empirical stylised facts of nancial time series, we develop dynamic portfolio protection trading strategies based on econometric methods. As a criterion for riskiness we consider the evolution of the value-at-risk spread from a GARCH model with normal innovations...
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