In this paper, using a range of technical trading and momentum trading strategies, we show that the Indian stock market is profitable. We find robust evidence that investing in some sectors is relatively more profitable than investing in others. We show that sectoral heterogeneity with respect...

We propose a panel data model of price discovery. We find that the stock market contributes to price discovery in most sectors while the Credit Default Swap (CDS) market contributes to price discovery in only a few sectors. We discover that in sectors where both the stock market and the CDS...

In this paper, we test whether oil price predicts economic growth for 28 developed and 17 developing countries. We use predictability tests that account for the key features of the data, namely, persistency, endogeneity, and heteroskedasticity. Our analysis considers a large number of countries,...

In this paper we examine whether tourism predicts macroeconomic variables in Pacific Island countries (PICs), namely, Fiji, the Solomon Islands, PNG, Vanuatu, Samoa, and Tonga. We form seven panels of PICs—one full panel of six countries and six panels where, one-by-one, each country is...

In this paper we study whether the commodity futures market predicts the commodity spot market. Using historical daily data on four commodities—oil, gold, platinum, and silver—we find that they do. We then show how investors can use this information on the futures market to devise trading...

In this paper, we test whether oil price uncertainty predicts CDS returns for eight Asian countries. We use the Westerlund and Narayan (2011, 2012) predictability test that takes into consideration persistency, endogeneity, and heteroskedasticity of the data. In-sample evidence reveals that oil...

In this paper, we test spillover effects between Asian equity market volatility and the volatility of the two most dominant commodities, namely, crude oil and gold futures. We consider a total of 14 Asian markets. We find that volatility shocks in established and mature equity markets, such as...