Li, Hong; Shi, Yanlin - In: Risks : open access journal 9 (2021) 2/35, pp. 1-19
This paper proposes an age-coherent sparse Vector Autoregression mortality model, which combines the appealing features … of existing VAR-based mortality models, to forecast future mortality rates. In particular, the proposed model utilizes a … projection phase to generate age-coherent mortality forecasts. In the estimation phase, the age-specific mortality improvement …