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Researchers and practitioners employ a variety of time-series processes to forecast betas, using either short-memory models or implicitly imposing infinite memory. We find that both approaches are inadequate: beta factors show consistent long-memory properties. For the vast majority of stocks,...
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taken into account. Using Monte Carlo simulations, we confirm that our methods substantially improve the forecasting …
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believed to be long memory. The statistics are asymptotically standard normal on the null hypothesis that no bias is present …
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This paper proposes an estimator that accounts for time variation in a regression relationship with stochastic regressors exhibiting long-range dependence, covering weak fractional cointegration as a special case. An interesting application of this estimator is its ability to handle situations...
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We consider hypothesis testing in a general linear time series regression framework when the possibly fractional order of integration of the error term is unknown. We show that the approach suggested by Vogelsang (1998a) for the case of integer integration does not apply to the case of...
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