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existence of fractional cointegration relations. The notion of fractional cointegration allows for long-term equilibria with a … higher degree of persistence than allowed for in the standard cointegration framework. We investigate both inflation and … persistence structure we find evidence of fractional cointegration as well as a lower persistence before the crisis and a higher …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012252805
In this paper, test procedures for no fractional cointegration against possible breaks in the persistence structure of … Breitung (2006) test statistic for no cointegration over possible breakpoints in the long-run equilibrium. We show that the new …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012026947
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014388932
We develop methods to obtain optimal forecast under long memory in the presence of a discrete structural break based on different weighting schemes for the observations. We observe significant changes in the forecasts when long-range dependence is taken into account. Using Monte Carlo...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014247842
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014432798
In ESTAR models it is usually difficult to determine parameter estimates, as it can be observed in the literature. We show that the phenomena of getting strongly biased estimators is a consequence of the so-called identification problem, the problem of properly distinguishing the transition...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003950818
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009630353
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011406769
In this paper, we propose Phillips-Perron type, semiparametric testing procedures to distinguish a unit root process from a mean-reverting exponential smooth transition autoregressive one. The limiting nonstandard distributions are derived under very general conditions and simulation evidence...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10002926863