In this paper we investigate dynamics of global inflation and short-run inflation expectations. We estimate a global vector autoregressive (GVAR) model estimated using Bayesian techniques. We then explore the effect of three source of inflationary pressure that could drive up inflation...

This paper considers whether the adoption of inflation targets for Hungary, an emerging market economy, is a desirable option. We consider the qualitative and quantitative pre-conditions required for the successful adoption of inflation control objectives. Although it is found that the National...

With a few unfortunate exceptions the last three decades has seen reductions in inflation round the world to the point that many would argue that further improvements in price stability would offer only limited welfare gains. This experience is the result of many factors, some of which are...

With a few unfortunate exceptions the last three decades have seen reductions in inflation around the world to the point that many would argue that further improvements in price stability would offer only limited welfare gains. This experience is the result of many factors, some of which are...

The aim of this paper is to rely on a wide variety of forecasts and survey based estimates of inflationary expectations since the early 1990s for a group of 9 economies, 5 of which explicitly target inflation, and ask: To what extent are disagreements over forecasts of inflation driven by...

A relation between inflation and the path of average marginal cost (often measured by unit labor cost) implied by the Calvo (1983) model of staggered pricing --- sometimes referred to as the "new-Keynesian Phillips curve"--- has been the subject of extensive econometric estimation and testing....