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The introduction of inflation targets in Canada in 1991 ostensibly clarified the objectives of monetary policy, namely the pursuit of price stability. In doing so, one of the objectives of the new policy was to ensure that the public would henceforth be able to assess more easily monetary policy...
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This paper examines the historical evolution of central bank credibility using both historical narrative and empirics for a group of 16 countries, both advanced and emerging. It shows how the evolution of credibility has gone through a pendulum where credibility was high under the classical gold...
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significant. Nevertheless, no robust empirical connection between the size of an economic shock (e.g., the Great Depression) and … loss of credibility is found. Second, the frequency with which the world economy experiences economic and financial crises … the shock can be associated with policy errors …
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This paper proposes that an important instrument of monetary policy of the Bundesbank, is how it communicates with the public. We argue that communication by senior central bank officials represents an instrument of monetary policy that complements changes in interest rates. Moreover, the...
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Relying on Clive Granger's many and varied contributions to econometric analysis, this paper considers some of the key econometric considerations involved in estimating Taylor type rules for US data. We focus on the roles of unit roots, cointegration, structural breaks, and non-linearities to...
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