This study evaluates forecasting performance of a large-scale factor model developed in Siliverstovs and Kholodilin … (2012) in a genuine ex ante forecasting exercise. We perform our forecast of GDP growth in Switzerland in real time using …

We extend the analysis of Christoffersen and Diebold (1998) on long-run forecasting in cointegrated systems to …, this new loss function entails high and increasing forecasting gains compared to both the standard MSFE criterion and …

This paper performs a comparative analysis of estimation as well as of out-of-sample forecasting results of more than … estimates of the migration function. Out-of-sample forecasting results indicate the following: (i) the standard fixed effects … variables estimators, (iv) forecasting performance of heterogenous estimators is mediocre in our data set. …

subject to revisions. This makes them an excellent source of information for the macroeconomic forecasting. …

-on-quarter growth rates in Switzerland. It also assesses the informational content of macroeconomic data releases for forecasting of the … for GDP forecasting although their ranking depends on the underlying transformation of monthly indicators from which the …

In this paper, we evaluate the forecasting ability of 115 indicators to predict the housing prices and rents in 71 … tested in a framework of a quasi out-of-sample forecasting. Its results are quite heterogeneous. No single indicator appears …

regression used in Bai and Ng (2008), called the elastic net (Zou and Hastie, 2005). We illustrate our approach by forecasting …

In this paper we suggest an approach to comparison of models' forecasting performance in unstable environments. Our … tracking how the relative forecasting performance of competing models evolves over time. We illustrate the suggested approach …