Order imbalance methodology is utilized to examine the link between trading activity and returns in the six most liquid international bond futures markets. Order imbalances are strongly related to contemporaneous returns, in the expected direction (i.e. excess buy (sell) orders push down (up)...

The Australian federal election cycle, which occurs approximately every 3 years, causes much media attention and invokes indecision regarding investment decisions in both the real economy and financial markets. This paper constructs measures of political uncertainty and formally explores their...

This paper seeks to investigate the influence of political uncertainty, surrounding the Australian federal election cycle, on financial market uncertainty. Measures of political uncertainty are constructed and their relationship with market uncertainty, as measured by implied volatility,...

This note examines the relationship between aggregate news sentiment and changes in the implied volatility index (VIX). A significant negative contemporaneous relationship between changes in VIX and news sentiment is discovered. The relationship is asymmetric whereby changes in VIX are larger...

In addition to a myriad of industrial uses, precious metals continue to play an important role in the global financial system; they are increasingly popular as an investment and form part of a well-diversified portfolio in addition to acting as central bank reserves. Understanding how...

Utilising a comprehensive sample of U.S. and Chinese macroeconomic news announcements, we determine that volatility in commodity prices is significantly impacted by news regarding U.S. economic output (Industrial Production) and Chinese producer prices (PPI). Much of this effect appears to be...

Crude oil futures play an important role in the global financial and energy markets, yet the dynamics of liquidity in this crucial market have largely been ignored. Understanding how macroeconomic events shape liquidity in this market is crucial for both hedgers and speculators, particularly...

This paper is built around a simple premise that is based on the theoretical models of Harris and Raviv (1993) and Kandel and Pearson (1995). Complex statements are more difficult to interpret and may be construed in different ways by different agents. This creates heterogeneity of beliefs among...

This paper examines the patterns of trading behaviour, in the period surrounding monetary policy announcements. Utilizing a high-frequency data-set, with broker identifiers enabling classification of trades executed through institutional and retail brokers, I investigate all trades submitted on...

This paper examines the pattern of order aggressiveness, and the determinants of this pattern for institutional and retail brokers in the interval around monetary policy announcements. Utilizing a high-frequency dataset, with broker identifiers for each order submitted on the ASX over the period...