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We investigate how the choice of decision makers can be varied under the presence of risk and uncertainty. Our analysis is based on the approach we have previously applied to individual decision makers, which we now generalize to the case of decision makers that are members of a society. The...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013048092
We analyse the consequences of predicting and exploiting financial bubbles in an agent-based model, with a risky and a risk-free asset and three different trader types: fundamentalists, noise traders and "dragon riders" (DR). The DR exploit their ability to diagnose financial bubbles from the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012051958
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009389150
This short review presents a selected history of the mutual fertilization between physics and economics, from Isaac Newton and Adam Smith to the present. The fundamentally different perspectives embraced in theories developed in financial economics compared with physics are dissected with the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010411863
Altruistic punishment - the punishment of norm violators at one's own cost without material benefit - is frequently observed in experimental economics, field studies and in people's everyday life. The existence of this ostensibly irrational behavior is often linked to other-regarding preferences...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003971091
Using virtual stock markets with artificial interacting software investors, aka agent-based models (ABMs), we present a method to reverse engineer real-world financial time series. We model financial markets as made of a large number of interacting boundedly rational agents. By optimizing the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003973139
We present an agent-based model (ABM) of a financial market with n 1 risky assets, whose price dynamics result from the interaction between rational fundamentalists and trend following imitative noise traders. The interactions and opinion formation of the noise traders are described by an...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012799633
Using an agent-based model (ABM) with fundamentalists and chartists, prone to develop bubbles and crashes, we demonstrate the usefulness of direct market intervention by a policy maker, documenting strong performance in preventing bubbles and drawdowns and augmenting significantly the welfare of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012271219
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012287971
We develop an agent-based model (ABM) of a financial market with multiple assets belonging either to the fixed income or equity asset classes. The aim is to reproduce the main stylized facts of fixed income markets with regards to the emerging dynamics of the yield curves. Our ABM is rooted in...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013192099