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Housing starts in Canada, Japan, and the United States : do forecasters herd?

Pierdzioch, Christian; Ruelke, Jan-Christoph; … - 2012

-herd and, thereby, tend to intentionally scatter their forecasts around the consensus forecast. The extent of anti … forecast accuracy. -- Housing starts ; Forecasting ; Herding …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009559146

Do exchange-rate forecasters herd?

Pierdzioch, Christian; Stadtmann, Georg - In: Applied economics letters 18 (2011) 7/9, pp. 739-741

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009230904

Housing starts in Canada, Japan, and the United States : do forecasters herd?

Pierdzioch, Christian; Ruelke, Jan-Christoph; … - In: The journal of real estate finance and economics 45 (2012) 3, pp. 754-773

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009685390

Two currencies, one model? : evidence from the Wall Street Journal forecast poll

Frenkel, Michael; Ruelke, Jan-Christoph; Stadtmann, Georg - In: Journal of international financial markets, … 19 (2009) 4, pp. 588-596

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003879506

Are oil price forecasters finally right? : regressive expectations toward more fundamental values of the oil price

Reitz, Stefan; Ruelke, Jan-Christoph; Stadtmann, Georg - 2009

We use oil price forecasts from the Consensus Economic Forecast poll to analyze how forecasters form their expectations … role. Standard measures of forecast accuracy reveal forecasters' underperformance relative to the random walk benchmark …. However, this result appears to be biased due to peso problems. -- Oil price ; survey data ; forecast bias ; peso problem …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003908342

Fly with the eagles or scratch with the chickens? - zum Herdenverhalten von Wechselkursprognostikern

Pierdzioch, Christian; Schäfer, Dirk; Stadtmann, Georg - 2010

In diesem Beitrag wird analysiert, ob Wechselkursprognosen Anhaltspunkte dafür liefern, dass Prognostiker ein so genanntes Herdenverhalten zeigen. Auf der Basis unterschiedlicher theoretischer Modellansätze wird skizziert, warum Prognostiker einen Anreiz haben könnten, einem Herdentrieb zu...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008665578