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where is, however, itself difficult to predict: good forecasting performance by an indicator in one period seems to be …
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unemployment rate Phillips curve, which is examined in a simulated out of sample forecasting framework. Inflation forecasts …
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Forecasts of the rate of price inflation play a central role in the formulation of monetary policy, and forecasting … forecasting puzzles. It appears currently to be difficult for multivariate forecasts to improve on forecasts made using this time …
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than in the 1990s. Pseudo out-of-sample forecasting experiments indicate improvements upon univariate benchmarks. Since …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012974787
Forecasts of the rate of price inflation play a central role in the formulation of monetary policy, and forecasting … forecasting puzzles. It appears currently to be difficult for multivariate forecasts to improve on forecasts made using this time …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012466341
models. The past decade, however, has seen considerable progress in the development of time series forecasting methods that … exploit many predictors, and this chapter surveys these methods. The first group of methods considered is forecast combination … (forecast pooling), in which a single forecast is produced from a panel of many forecasts. The second group of methods is based …
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where is, however, itself difficult to predict: good forecasting performance by an indicator in one period seems to be …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013322105
unemployment rate Phillips curve, which is examined in a simulated out of sample forecasting framework. Inflation forecasts …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013240950