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We examine whether values of equity options traded on individual firms are sensitive to the firm's capital structure. Specifically, we estimate the compound option (CO) model, which views equity as an option on the firm. Compared to the Black-Scholes (BS) model, the CO model reduces pricing...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013032452
Presentation Slides for "Overconfidence, Arbitrage, and Equilibrium Asset Pricing" This paper offers a model in which asset prices reflect both covariance risk and misperceptions of firmsapos prospects, and in which arbitrageurs trade against mispricing. In equilibrium, expected returns are...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012918741
This paper sheds empirical light on whether sentiment affects the profitability of price momentum strategies. We hypothesize that news that contradicts investors' sentiment causes cognitive dissonance, which slows the diffusion of signals that oppose the direction of sentiment. This phenomenon...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012906186
This paper examines the equity market reaction to consumer sentiment in the context of the sentiment index issued by the Melbourne Institute of Applied Economics and Social Research. Unlike the Michigan index in the US, which is announced in phases, this index is announced once per month, which...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013142195
Feedback from stock prices to cash flows occurs because information revealed by firms' stock prices influences the actions of competitors. We explore the implications of feedback within a noisy rational expectations setting with publicly listed and private firms. In our setting, stock prices are...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013089186
Several studies on the expiration of IPO lockups document a strong negative reaction even though the unlock event is devoid of any informational content. The empirical finding has remained a conundrum. In this paper, we find that changes in liquidity can account for the observed stock price...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013070407
We link equity and treasury bond markets via an informational channel. When macroeconomic state shifts are more probable, informed traders are more likely to have valid signals about fundamentals, so that uninformed traders are less willing to trade against informed ones. This implies low volume...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013216339
The security market line (SML) accords with the capital asset pricing model (CAPM) by taking on an upward slope in pessimistic sentiment periods, but is downward sloping during optimistic periods. We hypothesize that this finding obtains because periods of optimism attract equity investment by...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012905600
Do order flows in index derivatives play an informational role? Weekly index put order flow on the International Securities Exchange positively and robustly predicts weekly S&P 500 index returns. This result obtains mainly for net put buying and is stronger in high VIX periods and in periods...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012903221
Regression regularization techniques show that deviations of accounting fundamentals from their preceding moving averages forecast drifts in equity market prices. The deviations-based predictability survives a comprehensive set of prominent anomalies. The profitability applies strongly to the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012845643