Showing 1 - 10 of 126
This paper studies the relationship between inflation, output, money and interest rates in the euro area, using data … power for future inflation. The real money gap contains more information about future inflation than the output gap and the … Eurosystem's money-growth indicator is an inferior indicator of future inflation …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014061326
**The following is a description of the paper and not the actual abstract.** Inflation targeting is shown to imply … inflation forecast targeting: the central bank's inflation forecast becomes an explicit intermediate target. Inflation forecast … quickly the inflation forecast is adjusted towards the inflation target. Money growth or exchange rate targeting is generally …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014101962
We study the problem of a policymaker who seeks to set policy optimally in an economy where the true economic structure is unobserved, and policymakers optimally learn from their observations of the economy. This is a classic problem of learning and control, variants of which have been studied...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010958767
“Forecast targeting,” forward-looking monetary policy that uses central-bank judgment to construct optimal policy projections of the target variables and the instrument rate, may perform substantially better than monetary policy that disregards judgment and follows a given instrument rule....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011604522
We examine optimal and other monetary policies in a linear-quadratic setup with a relatively general form of model uncertainty, so-called Markov jump-linear-quadratic systems extended to include forward-looking variables. The form of model uncertainty our framework encompasses includes : simple...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010295780
We study the problem of a policymaker who seeks to set policy optimally in an economy where the true economic structure is unobserved, and policymakers optimally learn from their observations of the economy. This is a classic problem of learning and control, variants of which have been studied...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010298360
-level stability and low (including zero) inflation and the decisions about the price index, the quantitative target and the role of … a commitment to a simple instrument rule (like a Taylor rule), forecast targeting (like inflation-forecast targeting … against inflation-forecast targeting are scrutinized and found unconvincing. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010321246
Using a small empirical model of inflation, output, and money estimated on U.S. data, we compare the relative … performance of monetary targeting and inflation targeting. The results show that monetary targeting would be quite inefficient …, with both higher inflation and output variability. This is true even with a deterministic money demand formulation. In this …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010321354
We examine optimal and other monetary policies in a linear-quadratic setup with a relatively general form of model uncertainty, so-called Markov jump-linear-quadratic systems extended to include forward-looking variables. The form of model uncertainty our framework encompasses includes : simple...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005083068
-level stability and low (including zero) inflation and the decisions about the price index, the quantitative target and the role of … a commitment to a simple instrument rule (like a Taylor rule), forecast targeting (like inflation-forecast targeting … against inflation-forecast targeting are scrutinized and found unconvincing. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005649049