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The main objective of this paper is to propose a feasible, model free estimator of the predictive density of integrated … realized volatility. Our approach is to use a realized volatility measure to construct a non parametric (kernel) estimator of …, satisfy the conditions required for the uniform consistency of our estimator. Furthermore, we outline an alternative …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003698522
The main objective of this paper is to propose a feasible, model free estimator of the predictive density of integrated … realized volatility. Our approach is to use a realized volatility measure to construct a non parametric (kernel) estimator of …, satisfy the conditions required for the uniform consistency of our estimator. Furthermore, we outline an alternative …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014062176
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003376072
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003376073
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013185326
In this paper, the authors empirically assess the extent to which early release inefficiency and definitional change affect prediction precision. In particular, they carry out a series of ex-ante prediction experiments in order to examine: the marginal predictive content of the revision process,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008627176
These essays by Clive W. J. Granger span more than four decades and cover major topics in spectral analysis, seasonality, nonlinearity, methodology, and forecasting. The introduction by Eric Gysels, Norman R. Swanson and Mark W. Watson places the essays in context and demonstrates their enduring...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012675409
These essays by Clive W. J. Granger span more than four decades and cover major topics in causality, integration, cointegration, and long memory. The introduction by Eric Gysels, Norman R. Swanson, and Mark W. Watson places the essays in context and demonstrates their enduring value
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012675413
In this paper we characterize what has sometimes been referred to in the literature as instantaneous causality, by examining the consequences of temporal aggregation in (possibly) Granger causal systems of variables. Our approach is to compare the concept of contemporaneous correlation due to...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009578029
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003763975