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In this paper, we use factor-augmented HAR-type models to predict the daily integrated volatility of asset returns. Our approach is based on a proposed two-step dimension reduction procedure designed to extract latent common volatility factors from a large dimensional and high-frequency returns...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012952724
Many recent modelling advances in finance topics ranging from the pricing of volatility-based derivative products to asset management are predicated on the importance of jumps, or discontinuous movements in asset returns. In light of this, a number of recent papers have addressed volatility...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009771770
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We investigate the marginal predictive content of small versus large jump variation, when forecasting one-week-ahead cross-sectional equity returns, building on Bollerslev et al. (2020). We find that sorting on signed small jump variation leads to greater value-weighted return differentials...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012265498
We make use of the extant testing methodology of Barndorff-Nielsen and Shephard (2006) and Ai͏̈t-Sahalia and Jacod (2009a,b,c) to examine the importance of jumps, and in particular "large" and "small" jumps, using high frequency price returns on 25 stocks in the DOW 30 and S&P futures index....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009151972
We make use of the extant testing methodology of Barndorff-Nielsen and Shephard (2006) and Aït-Sahalia and Jacod (2009a, b, c) to examine the importance of jumps, and in particular “large” and “small” jumps, using high frequency price returns on 25 stocks in the DOW 30 and S&P futures...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013092868
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012693319
In this paper, we review econometric methodology that is used to test for jumps and to decompose realized volatility into continuous and jump components. In order to illustrate how to implement the methods discussed, we also present the results of an empirical analysis in which we separate...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012915430
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003309394
This chapter builds on previous work by Bhardwaj and Swanson (2004) who address the notion that many fractional I(d) processes may fall into the empty boxʺ category, as discussed in Granger (1999). However, rather than focusing primarily on linear models, as do Bhardwaj and Swanson, we analyze...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003698258