"Forecasting is the process of making predictions of the future based on past and present data and most commonly by analysis of trends. A commonplace example might be estimation of some variable of interest at some specified future date. Prediction is a similar, but more general term This book...

Cover -- Title Page -- Copyright Page -- Contents -- Foreword -- Preface -- State of the Art -- Forecasting in Social Settings: The State of the Art* -- I. The Facts -- A Brief History of Forecasting -- When Predictions Go Wrong -- Improving Forecasting Accuracy over Time -- The Importance of...

Intro -- Praise -- Series -- Title page -- Copyright -- Foreword -- Preface -- Chapter 1 Fundamental Considerations in Business Forecasting -- 1.1 Getting Real about Uncertainty -- 1.2 What Demand Planners Can Learn from the Stock Market -- 1.3 Toward a More Precise Definition of Forecastability...