Taylor, Alan M.; Glick, Reuven - Economics Department, University of California-Davis - 2005
economic activity, especially international trade. Yet nothing is known empirically about these effects in large samples. We … study the effects of war on bilateral trade for almost all countries with available data extending back to 1870. Using the … gravity model, we estimate the contemporaneous and lagged effects of wars on the trade of belligerent nations and neutrals …