I analyze a data set on the characteristics of 399 US presidential TV ads for seventeen election campaigns, 1952-2016, by modelling their impact on the probability of the candidate favored in each ad winning the presidential election to which the ad relates. Certain emotional variables are found...

Since 1997, the Bank of England Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) has met monthly to set the UK policy interest rate. We examine evidence of systematic patterns in exchange rate movements on MPC days over the first decade of operation of the MPC. Daily data reveal significant differences in...