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deviations. VAR based empirical results support the model implications that contractionary shocks increase volatility. The …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011389786
We use a factor model with stochastic volatility to decompose the time-varying variance of Macro economic and Financial variables into contributions from country-specific uncertainty and uncertainty common to all countries. We find that the common component plays an important role in driving the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011306276
We propose an extended time-varying parameter Vector Autoregression that allows for an evolving relationship between the variances of the shocks. Using this model, we show that the relationship between the conditional variance of GDP growth and the long-term interest rate has become weaker over...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011554403
develop an extended Factor Augmented VAR model that simultaneously allows the estimation of a measure of uncertainty and its …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010472799
We develop a VAR that allows the estimation of the impact of monetary policy shocks on volatility. Estimates for the US …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011928806