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Climate change and developing country interests : cases from the Zambezi River Basin
Arndt, Channing; Chinowsky, Paul; Fant, Charles; … - 2015
We consider the interplay of climate change impacts, global mitigation policies, and the interests of developing countries to 2050. Focusing on Malawi, Mozambique, and Zambia, we employ a structural approach to biophysical and economic modeling that incorporates climate uncertainty and allows...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011390407
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An uncertainty approach to modelling climate change risk in South Africa
Cullis, James; Alton, Theresa; Arndt, Channing; … - 2015
on the national economy of South Africa via a number of (but not necessarily all) impact channels. The study focuses on … previously considered in a fully integrated way for South Africa. The study considers two future global emissions scenarios - an …, South Africa's real GDP level will be about 1.5% lower than in the baseline scenario. This translates into a 0.03 percentage …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010511214
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Climate change and economic growth prospects for Malawi : an uncertainty approach
Arndt, Channing; Schlosser, Adam; Strzepek, Kenneth M.; … - 2014
Malawi confronts a development imperative in a context of rising temperatures and deep uncertainty about precipitation trends. We evaluate the implications of climate change for overall growth and development prospects to 2050. We focus on three impact channels: agriculture, road infrastructure,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010230922
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Implications of climate change for Ghana's economy
Arndt, Channing; Asante, Felix Ankomah; Thurlow, James - 2014
Long-run economic development in Ghana is potentially vulnerable to anthropogenic climate change given the country's dependence on rainfed agriculture, hydropower, and unpaved rural roads. We use a computable general equilibrium model, informed by detailed sector studies, to estimate the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010233104
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Climate change and economic growth prospects for Malawi : an uncertainty approach
Arndt, Channing; Schlosser, Adam; Strzepek, Kenneth M.; … - In: Journal of African economies 23 (2014), pp. 83-107
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010401694
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Can cities or towns drive African development? Economy-wide analysis for Ethiopia and Uganda
Dorosh, Paul; Thurlow, James - 2012
Rapid urbanization is an important characteristic of African development and yet the structural transformation debate focuses on agriculture's relative merits without also considering the benefits from urban agglomeration. As a result, African governments are often provided conflicting...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010319945
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Gender implications of biofuels expansion: A CGE analysis for Mozambique
Arndt, Channing; Benfica, Rui; Thurlow, James - 2010
We use a gendered computable general equilibrium model to assess the implications of biofuels expansion in Mozambique. We compare scenarios with different gender employment intensities in producing jatropha for biodiesel. Under all scenarios, biofuels accelerate GDP growth and reduce poverty....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010280111
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Are biofuels good for African development? An analytical framework with evidence from Mozambique and Tanzania
Arndt, Channing; Msangi, Siwa; Thurlow, James - 2010
Many low income countries in Africa are optimistic that producing biofuels domestically will not only reduce their …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010280240
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Are biofuels good for African development? : an analytical framework with evidence from Mozambique and Tanzania
Arndt, Channing; Msangi, Siwa; Thurlow, James - 2010
Many low income countries in Africa are optimistic that producing biofuels domestically will not only reduce their … needed. -- biofuels ; economic development ; food security ; poverty ; Africa …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008662853
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The role of agriculture in African development
Diao, Xinshen; Hazell, P. B. R.; Thurlow, James - In: World development : the multi-disciplinary … 38 (2010) 10, pp. 1375-1383
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008796260