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Implications of climate change for Ghana's economy

Arndt, Channing; Asante, Felix Ankomah; Thurlow, James - 2014

Long-run economic development in Ghana is potentially vulnerable to anthropogenic climate change given the country's dependence on rainfed agriculture, hydropower, and unpaved rural roads. We use a computable general equilibrium model, informed by detailed sector studies, to estimate the...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010233104

Climate change and economic growth prospects for Malawi : an uncertainty approach

Arndt, Channing; Schlosser, Adam; Strzepek, Kenneth M.; … - In: Journal of African economies 23 (2014), pp. 83-107

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010401694

An uncertainty approach to modelling climate change risk in South Africa

Cullis, James; Alton, Theresa; Arndt, Channing; … - 2015

on the national economy of South Africa via a number of (but not necessarily all) impact channels. The study focuses on … previously considered in a fully integrated way for South Africa. The study considers two future global emissions scenarios - an …, South Africa's real GDP level will be about 1.5% lower than in the baseline scenario. This translates into a 0.03 percentage …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010511214

Climate change and developing country interests : cases from the Zambezi River Basin

Arndt, Channing; Chinowsky, Paul; Fant, Charles; … - 2015

We consider the interplay of climate change impacts, global mitigation policies, and the interests of developing countries to 2050. Focusing on Malawi, Mozambique, and Zambia, we employ a structural approach to biophysical and economic modeling that incorporates climate uncertainty and allows...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011390407

Climate change and economic growth prospects for Malawi : an uncertainty approach

Arndt, Channing; Schlosser, Adam; Strzepek, Kenneth M.; … - 2014

Malawi confronts a development imperative in a context of rising temperatures and deep uncertainty about precipitation trends. We evaluate the implications of climate change for overall growth and development prospects to 2050. We focus on three impact channels: agriculture, road infrastructure,...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010230922

Can cities or towns drive African development? Economy-wide analysis for Ethiopia and Uganda

Dorosh, Paul; Thurlow, James - 2012

Rapid urbanization is an important characteristic of African development and yet the structural transformation debate focuses on agriculture's relative merits without also considering the benefits from urban agglomeration. As a result, African governments are often provided conflicting...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010319945

Gender implications of biofuels expansion: A CGE analysis for Mozambique

Arndt, Channing; Benfica, Rui; Thurlow, James - 2010

We use a gendered computable general equilibrium model to assess the implications of biofuels expansion in Mozambique. We compare scenarios with different gender employment intensities in producing jatropha for biodiesel. Under all scenarios, biofuels accelerate GDP growth and reduce poverty....

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010280111

Are biofuels good for African development? An analytical framework with evidence from Mozambique and Tanzania

Arndt, Channing; Msangi, Siwa; Thurlow, James - 2010

Many low income countries in Africa are optimistic that producing biofuels domestically will not only reduce their …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010280240

Biofuels, Poverty, and Growth: A Computable General Equilibrium Analysis of Mozambique

Arndt, Channing; Benfica, Rui M.S.; Tarp, Finn; … - International Association of Agricultural Economists - IAAE - 2008

This paper assesses the implications of large-scale investments in biofuels for growth and income distribution. We find that biofuels investment enhances growth and poverty reduction despite some displacement of food crops by biofuels. Overall, the biofuel investment trajectory analyzed...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010880041

Gender Implications of Biofuels Expansion in Africa: The Case of Mozambique

Arndt, Channing; Benfica, Rui M.S.; Thurlow, James - International Association of Agricultural Economists - IAAE - 2012

We use a gendered dynamic CGE model to assess the implications of biofuels expansion in a low-income, land-abundant setting. Mozambique is chosen as a representative case. We compare scenarios with different gender employment intensities in producing jatropha feedstock for biodiesel. Under all...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010880297

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