With concerns on inflation flaring up, there has been renewed interest in potentially including commodities in diversified portfolios. This article builds off prior research in examining which commodities to include and in what size. The article briefly reviews the relevant literature and...

This paper provides a reasonably comprehensive tour of the always dynamic and frequently opaque commodity markets, including views on (1) commodity trading strategies, (2) common mistakes, and (3) two famous debacles. The specific types of commodity trading strategies that are included are...

This paper provides a case study on the Amaranth hedge fund debacle. The article describes the fund's strategies and documents the riskiness of the fund's positioning based on a U.S. Senate investigation. The paper concludes with the debacle's legal and regulatory aftermath

Should an investor enter into long-term positions in oil futures contracts? In answering this question, this paper will cover the following three considerations: (1) the case for structural positions in crude oil futures contracts; (2) useful indicators for avoiding crash risk; and (3) financial...

This survey paper discusses the (potential) structural sources of return for both CTAs and commodity indices based on a review of empirical research from both academics and practitioners. The paper specifically covers (a) the long-term return sources for both managed futures programs and for...

This collection of articles covers the commodity derivatives markets from a broadly conceptual perspective. Specifically, this set of articles reviews (a) the potentially persistent sources of return in the commodity futures markets; (b) the differing risk-management priorities for commercial...

This article argues that it is plausible that there are two fundamental metrics that could be useful for deciding upon crude oil futures positions: (1) whether there are ample inventories or not; and (2) whether spare capacity is at pinch-point levels or not. The article will further argue that...

If hedge funds are exploiting market inefficiencies, this means that other investors are supplying those inefficiencies. This means that, unfortunately, we can't all profit from exploiting inefficiencies. Therefore, there is a natural cap on the potential size of the hedge fund industry,...

The Amaranth case is surprising in many ways. It is definitely a surprise that a well-respected multi-strategy hedge fund could lose about $6-billion in little over a week. It is perhaps an even greater surprise that such a loss would have little knock-on effect on the hedge fund industry and...