Showing 1 - 10 of 215
derived. The reason is that inflation, output and the interest rate are convex functions of each member's idiosyncratic degree … of model uncertainty. If the degree of model uncertainty becomes more heterogenous, inflation volatility falls due to …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003980593
In this paper we reconsider the degree of international comovement of inflation rates. We use a dynamic hierarchical … factor model that is able to decompose Consumer Price Index (CPI) inflation in a panel of countries into (i) a factor common … to all inflation series and all countries, (ii) a factor specific to a given sub-section of the CPI, (iii) a country …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010897858
In this paper we reconsider the degree of international comovement of inflation rates. We use a dynamic hierarchical … factor model that is able to decompose Consumer Price Index (CPI) inflation in a panel of countries into (i) a factor common … to all inflation series and all countries, (ii) a factor specific to a given sub-section of the CPI, (iii) a country …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010294381
derived. The reason is that inflation, output and the interest rate are convex functions of each member's idiosyncratic degree … of model uncertainty. If the degree of model uncertainty becomes more heterogenous, inflation volatility falls due to …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010286359
Following the Asian financial crisis in 1997-98, a number of Asian central banks adopted inflation targeting. While it … is possible for the average inflation rate to be close to target, deviations of inflation could nevertheless be large and … protracted. We therefore explore how successful this framework has been by looking at the persistence of inflation, as measured …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013120898
In this paper we dissect the public debate about the future course of monetary policy and trace the effects of selected topics of this discourse on U.S. asset prices. We focus on the "taper tantrum" episode in 2013, a period with large revisions in expectations about Fed policy. Based on a novel...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011434676
It is well known that a tightening or easing of the United States' monetary policy affects financial markets in emerging economies. This paper argues that uncertainty about future monetary policy is a separate transmission channel. We focus on the taper tantrum episode in 2013, a period with an...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011546623
remittances. These results have important implications for the design of inflation targeting in developing countries. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011552526
deciding about interest rate policy, members individually formulate regular inflation forecasts. This paper uncovers systematic … differences in individual inflation forecasts submitted by voting and non-voting members. Based on a data set with individual … forecasts recently made available it is shown that non-voters systematically overpredict inflation relative to the consensus …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010286349
deciding about interest rate policy, members individually formulate regular inflation forecasts. This paper uncovers systematic … differences in individual inflation forecasts submitted by voting and non-voting members. Based on a data set with individual … forecasts recently made available it is shown that non-voters systematically overpredict inflation relative to the consensus …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003962970