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Breaks in the Phillips Curve : Evidence from Panel Data
Smith, Simon C.; Timmermann, Allan; Wright, Jonathan H. - National Bureau of Economic Research - 2023
We revisit time-variation in the Phillips curve, applying new Bayesian panel methods with breakpoints to US and European Union disaggregate data. Our approach allows us to accurately estimate both the number and timing of breaks in the Phillips curve. It further allows us to determine the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014250170
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Breaks in the Phillips curve : evidence from panel data
Smith, Simon C.; Timmermann, Allan; Wright, Jonathan H. - 2023 - Draft: March 25, 2023
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014284088
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Transparency, investor information acquisition, and money market fund risk rebalancing during the 2011-12 eurozone crisis
Gallagher, Emily; Schmidt, Lawrence; Timmermann, Allan; … - 2017
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011653502
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A simple nonparametric test of predictive performance
Pesaran, M. Hashem - In: Journal of business & economic statistics : JBES ; a … 10 (1992) 4, pp. 461-465
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10001132718
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Optimal properties of exponentially weighted forecasts in the presence of different information sources
Satchell, Stephen - In: Economics letters 45 (1994) 2, pp. 169-174
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10001163976
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On the optimality of adaptive expectations : Muth revisited
Satchell, Stephen - In: International journal of forecasting 11 (1995) 3, pp. 407-416
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10001203016
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An assessment of the economic value of non-linear foreign exchange rate forecasts
Satchell, Stephen - In: Journal of forecasting 14 (1995) 6, pp. 477-497
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10001191617
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Forecasting stock returns : an examination of stock market trading in the presence of transaction costs
Pesaran, M. Hashem - In: Journal of forecasting 13 (1994) 4, pp. 335-367
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10001166232
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The use of recursive model selection strategies in forecasting stock returns
Pesaran, M. Hashem; Timmermann, Allan - 1994
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10000924261
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Equivalence between out-of-sample forecast comparisons and Wald statistics
Hansen, Peter Reinhard; Timmermann, Allan - In: Econometrica : journal of the Econometric Society, an … 83 (2015) 6, pp. 2485-2505
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011431548