international tourism out to 2100. We find that between 2005 and 2100 international tourism grows by a factor of 12. Not only do … people take more trips but these also increase in length. We find that the growth in tourism is mainly fuelled by an increase … climate policy scenario. -- Carbon dioxide emissions ; international tourism ; long-term forecasting ; aviation …

continents, such as Ireland) or on intercontinental flights (e.g., Africa) will see a decline in international tourism numbers … would stay closer to home so that EU tourism would grow at the expense of other destinations. Sensitivity analyses reveal … that the qualitative insights are robust. A carbon tax on aviation fuel would have little effect on international tourism …

We use an updated and extended version of the Hamburg Tourism Model to simulate the effect of development and climate … change on tourism. Model extensions are the explicit modelling of domestic tourism and the inclusion of tourist expenditures …. We also use the model to examine the impact of sea level rise on tourism demand. Climate change would shift patterns of …