The stochastic inequality test is an exact non-parametric test that can be used to infer whether values in one random sample tend to be higher than in another. In addition it can be used to derive a confidence interval around an intuitive measure of effect size that is readily interpretable...

Incentivized methods for eliciting subjective probabilities in economic experiments present the subject with risky choices or bets that encourage truthful reporting. We discuss the most prominent elicitation methods and their underlying assumptions, provide theoretical comparisons, and propose...

Incentivized methods for eliciting subjective probabilities in economic experiments present the subject with risky choices or bets that encourage truthful reporting. We discuss the most prominent elicitation methods and their underlying assumptions, provide theoretical comparisons, and propose...

We present methods of belief elicitation which are applicable for any non-trivial utility function. Unlike existing techniques that account for deviations from risk-neutrality, these methods are highly transparent to subjects. Rather than identifying beliefs exactly we identify bounds on...