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This paper investigates whether codependence restrictions can be uniquely imposed on VAR and VEC models via the so-called pseudo-structural form used in the literature. Codependence of order q is given if a linear combination of autocorrelated variables eliminates the serial correlation after q...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011489949
A test for the cointegrating rank of a vector autoregressive (VAR) process with a possible shift and broken linear trend is proposed. The break point is assumed to be known. The setup is a VAR process for cointegrated variables. The tests are not likelihood ratio tests but the deterministic...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010263655
This paper investigates whether codependence restrictions can be uniquely imposed on VAR and VEC models via the so-called pseudo-structural form used in the literature. Codependence of order q is given if a linear combination of autocorrelated variables eliminates the serial correlation after q...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011441812
We bring together some recent advances in the literature on vector autoregressive moving-average models creating a relatively simple specification and estimation strategy for the cointegrated case. We show that in the cointegrated case with fixed initial values there exists a so-called final...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010316827
In this paper we analyse bootstrap procedures for systems cointegration tests with a prior adjustment for deterministic … considers the standard asymptotic test versions and the Johansen cointegration test for comparison. -- Bootstrap ; Systems … cointegration tests ; VEC models …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003324256
corresponding Gaussian likelihood ratio test for the cointegrating rank. -- Cointegration ; structural break ; vector autoregressive …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003376003
cointegration tests that do not accommodate level shifts. I consider two groups of Likelihood Ratio tests based on procedures … rank smaller than one suggested by procedures which accommodate the shifts. -- Systems cointegration tests ; Level shifts …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009626747
some recently developed bootstrap implementations of the co-integration rank tests of Johansen (1996). In order to do so we … significantly improve upon the small sample performance of the bootstrap co-integration rank tests. A brief application of the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011490238
We bring together some recent advances in the literature on vector autoregressive moving - average models creating a relatively simple specification and estimation strategy for the cointegrated case. We show that in the cointegrated case with fixed initial values there exists a so-called final...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013113593
generates forecasts superior to methods which do not allow for moving-average terms. -- Cointegration ; VARMA Models …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009740153