This study investigates usefulness of business tendency surveys in industrial sector for out-of-sample prediction of growth of industrial production in Russia. A special attention is paid to performance of survey-augmented models during the recent Great Recession 2008/2009. Using the real-time...

This study investigates usefulness of business tendency surveys in industrial sector for out-of-sample prediction of growth of industrial production in Russia. A special attention is paid to performance of survey-augmented models during the recent Great Recession 2008/2009. Using the real-time...

The section is prepared using data of monthly business surveys conducted by the Gaidar Institute for Economic Policy (IEP) among managers of industrial enterprises since September 1992. The surveys are based on the European harmonized methodology and encompass the entire territory of the Russian...

This paper was prepared using data of monthly business surveys conducted by the Gaidar Institute for Economic Policy (IEP) among managers of industrial enterprises since September 1992. The surveys are based on the European harmonized methodology and encompass the entire territory of the Russian...

The author studies the performance of Russian industrial enterprise in 2012. He focuses on the issue of the second wave of the crises hitting the Russian industry. The paper also deals with lending issues to the Russian industry in 2012. Problems of labor shortages hitting the Russian industry...

The paper is based on the data of surveys conducted among the managers of industrial enterprises. These surveys have been conducted by the IET according to the European harmonized methodology on a monthly basis since September 1992 and encompass the whole territory of the Russian Federation. The...

Russian Abstract: Майская экономическая статистика демонстрирует продолжение и развитие негативных тенденций, обозначившихся еще в апреле: несмотря на...

Russian Abstract: Начавшееся в апреле и продолжившееся в мае снижение темпов инфляции в годовом выражении связано с одновременным действием нескольких факторов –...

Russian Abstract: Несмотря на почти двукратное падение цен на нефть, торговое сальдо в I кв. сократилось не так сильно, как это случилось, например, в начале 2009 г. Масштабы...

The final evaluation of the Industry Adaptability (‘Normality') Index (IAI) for Q2 2017 has produced exactly the same results as our previous estimates: the Russian industrial sector has been increasingly adapting to the sluggish recovery from the crisis of 2015–2016. The IAI has come to...