This document describes the numerical models and tools constituting the integrated system for the qualitative and quantitative assessment of the hydrogeological risks due to climate change developed in the framework of the GEMINA project (product P91). In particular the work package 6.2.17...

In Turco et al. (2013a, [19]), three MOS methods (Linear-Scaling, Quantile-Mapping and MOS Analog) have been proposed and they have shown skill to downscale daily precipitation outputs of the ERA40-driven COSMO-CLM model over three Italian domain (Orvieto, Po river basin, Sardinia). This study...

This report provides a preliminary analysis of discharges, precipitation and temperature data since 1923 for 18 closure sections of Po river and its tributaries. First we have investigated the consistency of the data, evaluating the inter-basin correlations, and the relationship between...

In this paper we analyze some caveats found in the state-of-the-art ENSEMBLES regional projections dataset focusing on precipitation over Spain, and highlight the need of a task-oriented validation of the GCM-driven control runs. In particular, we compare the performance of the GCM-driven...

We analyse the impact of climate interannual variability on summer forest fires in Catalonia (northeastern Iberian Peninsula). The study period covers 25 years, from 1983 to 2007. During this period more than 16000 fire events were recorded and the total burned area was more than 240 kha, i.e....

We analyse the observed climate-driven changes in summer wildfires and their future evolution in a typical Mediterranean environment (NE Spain). By analysing observed climate and fire data from 1970 to 2007, we estimate the response of fire number (NF) and burned area (BA) to climate trends,...