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Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013461169
We study the pricing of political uncertainty in a general equilibrium model of government policy choice. We find that … political uncertainty commands a risk premium whose magnitude is larger in poorer economic conditions. Political uncertainty …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009320399
We survey the recent literature on learning in financial markets. Our main theme is that many financial market phenomena that appear puzzling at first sight are easier to understand once we recognize that parameters in financial models are uncertain and subject to learning. We discuss phenomena...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008776994
-to-book ratio (M/B) increases with uncertainty about average profitability, especially for firms that pay no dividends. M/B is …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005791675
We analyze how changes in government policy affect stock prices. Our general equilibrium model features uncertainty … average. The price fall is expected to be large if uncertainty about government policy is large, as well as if the policy …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008553062
Not necessarily. The fundamental value of a firm increases with uncertainty about average future profitability, and … this uncertainty was unusually high in the late 1990s. We calibrate a stock valuation model that includes this uncertainty …, and show that the uncertainty needed to match the observed Nasdaq valuations at their peak is high but plausible. The high …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005123974
We survey the recent literature on learning in financial markets. Our main theme is that many financial market phenomena that appear puzzling at first sight are easier to understand once we recognize that parameters in financial models are uncertain and subject to learning. We discuss phenomena...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005661697
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