This paper draws on COIC's experience with deposit-taking institutions during the 1980s and 1990s and presents a number of early warning indicators of financial distress. Early warning indicators do not eliminate bank failures. However, they should lead to early intervention and consequently...

This volume contains selected papers presented at the Eleventh SEACEN Meeting of Directors of Supervision held in Kuala Lumpur, 8-10 October 1997. It covers an opening address and introduction; financial system soundness and monetary and supervisory policies; approaches to risk-based...

A robust empirical determinant of long-term economic growth in many developing countries has been the expansion and diversification of the export sector. The latter, in turn, has been influenced by capital accumulation and economic growth. The growth model developed here explores this...

This paper proposes a model of endogenous economic growth and distribution explicitly incorporating social extraction and political competition, with an application to the Philippine historical experience. The major objective is to explain developments in the distribution of national income and...

This paper examines the notion of sustainability of current account deficit using the consumption smoothing approach model. Empirical evidences suggest that the current account deficits in Indonesia, Malaysia and the Philippines can be explained by the model. Results also show that prior to the...

This paper which touches on the links between the macroeconomic and microeconomic dimensions of monetary management, argues that bank soundness is a sine quo non of price stability (or exchange rate stability), and vice versa. It then describes the structural weaknesses of a banking system that...

This paper examines ex-post solutions to the recent financial crisis. It is noted that the standard prescriptions of budgetary cuts, tax increases, currency depreciation and high interest rates were not effective. To avoid future crisis and in the context of an open capital market, the paper...