This paper introduces a new family of Bayesian semi-parametric models for the conditional distribution of daily stock index returns. The proposed models capture key stylized facts of such returns, namely heavy tails, asymmetry, volatility clustering, and leverage. A Bayesian nonparametric prior...

This paper develops a new family of Bayesian semiparametric models. A particular member of this family is used to model option prices with the aim of improving out-of-sample predictions. A detailed empirical analysis is made for European index call and put options to illustrate the ideas

Scale mixtures of uniform distributions are used to model non-normal data in both univariate and multivariate settings. In addition to providing greater modelling flexibility, the use of scale mixtures of uniforms also results in straightforward computational strategies, particularly in a...

A new simulation method, Auxiliary Random Functions, is introduced. When used within a Gibbs sampler, this method enables a unified treatment of exact, right-censored, left-censored, left-trucated and interval censored data, with and without covariates, in survival models. The models and methods...