We analyze the prices of owner-occupied housing in 97 metropolitan areas between 1980 and 2011. Our tests indicate that price changes exhibit positive serial correlation at the one year intervals, with subsequent reversals of price changes over longer intervals. Consistent with our simple model,...

The political environment, legal system, and culture of China differ from that of most mature economies in the western world. Consequently, Chinese real estate markets should behave differently from the markets of the mature economies such as the United States and the United Kingdom. The rapid...

Studies on the calibration of subjective probabilities find that people tend to over-estimate the precision of their knowledge. In this paper we develop a semi-rational model and apply it to the real estate markets in Hong Kong and other Asian countries. The key point is that a person is...

The Hong Kong residential market is unique in several aspects: restricted land supply, high price volatility, high appreciation rate, a small group of large developers, and a huge public housing sector. Assuming that higher price appreciation and volatility can be attributed to the limited land...

Asset pricing models have been used extensively in the recent real estate literature to evaluate real estate performance and estimate required rates of return of properties. In this paper, we show that the CAPM and its variants will derive a biased result when short sales are not allowed in the...

Conventional wisdom tells us that the price level of properties should be supported by the rent they receive. This paper examines the pricing factors of properties by analyzing how individuals allocate their income to housing consumption and other goods, which in turn become the rent (or...

This paper proposes and develops a replication method for estimating property values, in which optimal weights of comparable property attributes that best duplicate the subject property are determined. In a setting where the number of comparables is large compared to the number of attributes,...

This paper examines the rates of return for office buildings in four Texas cities to test for the presence of geographical patterns. The findings indicate that a geographical pattern does exist, both on an inter-city and intra-city basis. These results indicate a heightened emphasis on...

Recent research suggests that real estate returns are more predictable than the returns of other assets and that the real estate market is segmented from the general stock market. This study examines these two issues empirically using a multifactor asset pricing model that allows for...

It is well documented that in the United States, real estate investment trust (REIT) initial public offerings (IPOs) have an abnormally low initial-day return when compared to that of industrial firm IPOs. Researchers suspect that the abnormal return pattern of REIT IPOs is caused by their...