Showing 1 - 10 of 189
We study the long-term effects of inflation surges on inflation expectations. German households living in areas with … higher local inflation during the hyperinflation of the 1920s expect higher inflation today. Our evidence points towards a … transmission of inflation experiences from parents to children and through local institutions. Differential historical inflation …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014348717
We study the redistributive effects of inflation combining administrative bank data with an information provision … experiment during an episode of historic inflation. On average, households are well-informed about prevailing inflation and are … concerned about its impact on their wealth; yet, while many households know about inflation eroding nominal assets, most are …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014372429
We construct a slope factor from changes in federal funds futures of different horizons. A positive slope signals faster monetary policy tightening and predicts negative excess returns at the weekly frequency. Investors can achieve increases in weekly Sharpe ratios of 20% conditioning on the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012935261
Inflation expectations are central to economics because they affect the effectiveness of fiscal and monetary policy as … well as realized inflation. We survey the recent literature with a focus on the inflation expectations of households. We … first review standard data sources and discuss their advantages and disadvantages. We then document that household inflation …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012886870
We study the redistributive effects of inflation combining administrative bank data with an information provision … experiment during an episode of historic inflation. On average, households are well-informed about prevailing inflation and are … concerned about its impact on their wealth; yet, while many households know about inflation eroding nominal assets, most are …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014364676
We study the redistributive effects of inflation combining administrative bank data with an information provision … experiment during an episode of historic inflation. On average, households are well-informed about prevailing inflation and are … concerned about its impact on their wealth; yet, while many households know about inflation eroding nominal assets, most are …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014339966
We study redistributive effects of inflation across households with varying nominal wealth positions using a randomized … information experiment on clients of a large bank. On average, individuals are well informed about current levels of inflation and … are concerned about its impact on their wealth; yet, most individuals are not aware of how inflation erodes nominal asset …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014236128
We study how investors respond to inflation combining a customized survey experiment with trading data at a time of … historically high inflation. Investors' beliefs about the stock return-inflation relation are very heterogeneous in the cross … otherwise well-informed about inflation and asset returns. Consequently, whereas exogenous shifts in inflation expectations do …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014538732
We study the redistributive effects of surprise inflation combining administrative bank data with an information … provision experiment during an episode of historic inflation. On average, households are well-informed about prevailing … inflation and are concerned about its impact on their wealth; yet, while many households know about inflation eroding nominal …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014490357
We study how investors respond to inflation combining a customized survey experiment with trading data at a time of … historically high inflation. Investors' beliefs about the stock return-inflation relation are very heterogeneous in the cross … section and on average too optimistic. Moreover, many investors appear unaware of inflation-hedging strategies despite being …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014544748