We provide laboratory evidence that people neglect skewness resulting from compound shocks. In an investment experiment involving an asset with random geometric price growth, we determine bounds on the participants' subjective medians of the asset's final price. The evidence shows a strong bias...

Multiplicative growth processes that are subject to random shocks often have an asymmetric distribution of outcomes. In a series of incentivized laboratory experiments we show that a large majority of participants either strongly underestimate the asymmetry or ignore it completely. Participants...

Multiplicative growth processes that are subject to random shocks often have a skewed distribution of outcomes. In a number of incentivized laboratory experiments we show that a large majority of participants either strongly underestimate skewness or ignore it completely. Participants...