We study the behavior of U.S. consumers' inflation expectations during the high inflation period of 2021-22 using data … from the Survey of Consumer Expectations. Short- and, to a lesser extent, mediumterm inflation expectations rose as … inflation continued to climb, medium- and longerterm inflation expectations unexpectedly fell and medium- and longer …

Central banks pay close attention to inflation expectations. In standard models, however, inflation expectations are … tied down by the assumption of rational expectations and should be of little independent interest to policy makers. In this … paper, we relax the assumption of rational expectations with perfect knowledge and reexamine the role of inflation …

expectations, macroeconomic dynamics, and the efficient formulation of monetary policy. Economic agents rely on an adaptive … learning technology to form expectations and to update continuously their beliefs regarding the dynamic structure of the … between monetary policy and economic outcomes. We find that policies that would be efficient under rational expectations can …

expectations, macroeconomic dynamics, and the efficient formulation of monetary policy. Economic agents rely on an adaptive … learning technology to form expectations and to update continuously their beliefs regarding the dynamic structure of the … between monetary policy and economic outcomes. We find that policies that would be efficient under rational expectations can …

We propose a new approach to assessing the anchoring of inflation expectations using "strategic surveys". Namely, we … measure households' revisions in long-run inflation expectations after they are presented with different economic scenarios. A …-run inflation expectations. We implement the method in the summer of 2019 and the spring-summer of 2021 when the anchoring of long …