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Beyond the business climate : regular and supplementary questions in the ifo Business survey
Demmelhuber, Katrin; Sauer, Stefan; Wohlrabe, Klaus - 2022
In the monthly ifo Business Survey around 9,000 German companies answer questions about their current business situation, expectations and plans for the near future as well as on other business variables. This paper provides an overview of all regular questions (monthly, quarterly, bi-annually,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013170991
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Konstruktion von Indikatoren zur Analyse der wirtschaftlichen Aktivität in den Dienstleistungsbereichen
Wohlrabe, Klaus - 2011
Der Bereich Dienstleistungen macht mehr als 70% der deutschen Bruttowertschöpfung aus, jedoch ist die Konjunkturanalyse und -prognose in diesem Wirtschaftsbereich noch sehr unterentwickelt. Ein Blick in die Literatur zeigt, dass die Forschung hier noch am Anfang steht und sich bisher diesem...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011844002
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Konstruktion von Indikatoren zur Analyse der wirtschaftlichen Aktivität in den Dienstleistungsbereichen
Wohlrabe, Klaus - 2011
Der Bereich Dienstleistungen macht mehr als 70% der deutschen Bruttowertschöpfung aus, jedoch ist die Konjunkturanalyse und -prognose in diesem Wirtschaftsbereich noch sehr unterentwickelt. Ein Blick in die Literatur zeigt, dass die Forschung hier noch am Anfang steht und sich bisher diesem...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009385465
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Assessing the macroeconomic forecasting performance of boosting : evidence for the United States, the Euro Area, and Germany ; conference paper
Buchen, Teresa; Wohlrabe, Klaus - 2014
The use of large datasets for macroeconomic forecasting has received a great deal of interest recently. Boosting is one possible method of using high-dimensional data for this purpose. It is a stage-wise additive modelling procedure, which, in a linear specification, becomes a variable selection...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010491104
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Assessing the macroeconomic forecasting performance of boosting : evidence for the United States, the euro area and Germany
Wohlrabe, Klaus; Buchen, Teresa - In: Journal of forecasting 33 (2014) 4, pp. 231-242
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010424821
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Assessing the macroeconomic forecasting performance of boosting : evidence for the United States, the Euro Area, and Germany
Buchen, Teresa; Wohlrabe, Klaus - 2013
The use of large datasets for macroeconomic forecasting has received a great deal of interest recently. Boosting is one possible method of using high-dimensional data for this purpose. It is a stage-wise additive modelling procedure, which, in a linear specification, becomes a variable selection...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009721997
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Assessing the Macroeconomic Forecasting Performance of Boosting - Evidence for the United States, the Euro Area, and Germany
Buchen, Teresa - 2013
The use of large datasets for macroeconomic forecasting has received a great deal of interest recently. Boosting is one possible method of using high-dimensional data for this purpose. It is a stage-wise additive modelling procedure, which, in a linear specification, becomes a variable selection...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013085278
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Historical Ifo business cycle data
Sommer, Vera; Wohlrabe, Klaus - In: CESifo forum : a bi-monthly journal on European … 17 (2016) 2, pp. 45
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011952036
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The micro dynamics of macro announcements
Mittnik, Stefan; Robinzonov, Nikolay; Wohlrabe, Klaus - 2013
response analysis. Second, we examine the announcements effects on market volatility in a more detailed fashion by … adequately analyze both conditional mean and volatility effects. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010190208
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Looking into the black box of boosting : the case of Germany
Lehmann, Robert; Wohlrabe, Klaus - 2015
This paper looks into the 'fine print' of boosting for economic forecasting. By using German industrial production for the period from 1996 to 2014 and a data set consisting of 175 monthly indicators, we evaluate which indicators get selected by the boosting algorithm over time and four...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011411839