Similar Search Results - EconBiz

Competing approaches to forecasting elections: economic models, opinion polling and prediction markets

Leigh, Andrew; Wolfers, Justin - 2006

We review the efficacy of three approaches to forecasting elections: econometric models that project outcomes on the basis of the state of the economy; public opinion polls; and election betting (prediction markets). We assess the efficacy of each in light of the 2004 Australian election. This...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010267283

Partisan impacts on the economy: evidence from prediction markets and close elections

Snowberg, Erik; Wolfers, Justin; Zitzewitz, Eric - 2006

Political economists interested in discerning the effects of election outcomes on the economy have been hampered by the problem that economic outcomes also influence elections. We sidestep these problems by analyzing movements in economic indicators caused by clearly exogenous changes in...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010267661

Competing approaches to forecasting elections : economic models, opinion polling and prediction markets

Leigh, Andrew (contributor); Wolfers, Justin (contributor) - 2005

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003726867

Partisan impacts on the economy : evidence from prediction markets and close elections

Snowberg, Erik; Wolfers, Justin; Zitzewitz, Eric - 2006

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003322623

Competing approaches to forecasting elections : economic models, opinion polling and prediction markets

Leigh, Andrew; Wolfers, Justin - 2006

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003311125

Partisan impacts on the economy : evidence from prediction markets and close elections

Snowberg, Erik (contributor); Wolfers, Justin (contributor); … - 2006

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003342184

Competing approaches to forecasting elections : economic models, opinion polling and prediction markets

Leigh, Andrew (contributor); Wolfers, Justin (contributor) - 2006

We review the efficacy of three approaches to forecasting elections: econometric models that project outcomes on the basis of the state of the economy; public opinion polls; and election betting (prediction markets). We assess the efficacy of each in light of the 2004 Australian election. This...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003334619

Partisan impacts on the economy : evidence from prediction markets and close elections

Snowberg, Erik (contributor); Wolfers, Justin (contributor); … - 2006

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003416396

Partisan impacts on the economy : evidence from prediction markets and close elections

Snowberg, Erik; Wolfers, Justin; Zitzewitz, Eric - In: The quarterly journal of economics 122 (2007) 2, pp. 807-829

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003488139

Partisan impacts on the economy : evidence from prediction markets and close elections

Snowberg, Erik (contributor); Wolfers, Justin (contributor); … - 2006

Political economists interested in discerning the effects of election outcomes on the economy have been hampered by the problem that economic outcomes also influence elections. We sidestep these problems by analyzing movements in economic indicators caused by clearly exogenous changes in...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003289884

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